David Brody

CBN News Chief Political Correspondent

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Saturday, January 07, 2012

Brody File New Hampshire Debate Analysis

From Manchester, N.H.:

Brody File Analysis on tonight’s debate in New Hampshire:

Some observations: Clearly, this was a debate about who is going to be the “Anti-Romney” candidate. Meanwhile, Romney smiles the whole way through like a Cheshire cat. The gloves didn’t come off tonight but expect a different outcome in South Carolina next week when Romney won’t be on his home turf.

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Candidate breakdown:

Mitt Romney:
In the spin room after the debate, Romney surrogate and big hockey fan Tim Pawlenty told me that Mitt Romney is like the Wayne Gretzky of this presidential field. And you know what? After tonight’s debate it’s hard to argue with that. None of the candidates really laid a glove on the frontrunner and would it have mattered anyhow? He looks so calm, cool and collected out there. No wonder the Obama White House is worried. This guy is a machine with facts and prose. It was another winning night.

Rick Santorum:
I think he did extremely well tonight because he didn’t get angry at the attacks by Ron Paul and was able to articulate a strong defense of his conservatism. He had a great moment when talking about the dangers of radical Islam, which evangelicals will love. But his even better moment came when he explained that Mitt Romney’s use of the words “Middle Class” was inappropriate because as president he wouldn’t invoke class warfare. It was a beautiful stroke to weave that line into an overall message about his blue collar working roots. And then he transitioned into an eloquent explanation about why he could beat Obama and be an excellent commander-in-chief. He did himself proud tonight.

Newt Gingrich:
I was surprised he didn’t go after Romney tonight. But then again this is Romney’s home turf in New Hampshire. Expect Gingrich to level him in South Carolina next week. His line about how there is more anti-Christian bigotry out there than anything else was a direct play to the South Carolina audience. It was an evangelical ca-ching!

Ron Paul:
He seemed to be more aggressive than any other debate this cycle. He clearly sees Santorum as a threat but it’s hard to make the case against Santorum that he’s NOT a conservative considering that Santorum has been wearing a capital “C” on his chest for years and has a reputation as a die-hard conservative. Now, as Santorum correctly pointed out, nobody will really be as conservative as the libertarian Paul but I’m not sure Paul gets much traction by going after Santorum’s conservative credentials.

Rick Perry:
He handled himself well and his best moment came early when he painted the squabbling Ron Paul and Rick Santorum as Washington insiders and himself as the ultimate outsider. He invoked the Tea Party, which was also a good moment for him. However, isn’t it time to head to Greenville, S.C., and camp there for 11 days?

Jon Huntsman:
I’m not sure what to say other than maybe Huntsman should go campaign in Iowa.

posted @ Saturday, January 07, 2012 11:54 PM | Feedback (0)

A Big Evangelical Endorsement for Rick Santorum

Rick Santorum is going to get a big endorsement tomorrow. Gary Bauer, one of the prominent evangelical leaders in the country will endorse Santorum at an event with him Sunday in Greenville, S.C. Bauer tells The Brody File that he will release the news to his 250,000 member distribution list at midnight tonight.

Bauer, who is the President of American Values, told The Brody File the following:

"He's the guy that most reflects the Reagan personification of Republicanism, that is lower taxes, smaller government, strong national defense, pro-life, pro-family. But more importantly those values are also what's best for America and ending the nightmare of the Obama era."

 

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Bauer was also courted by the Romney campaign but has had a long relationship with Santorum. Bauer told me that he decided to endorse him because there's a real sense of frustration at the grassroots level that evangelical leaders aren't stepping up and speaking up for candidates. Bauer decided to change that.

He endorsed John McCain in 2008 during the South Carolina primary and there is some statistical analysis that showed his endorsement helped McCain by about five percent in the polls. McCain won South Carolina by three percentage points over Mike Huckabee.

Bauer is one of the five original evangelical leaders who called a meeting next week in Texas to discuss the next move for social conservative leaders as to whether they will be able to galvanize behind one candidate.

Bauer told me the meeting is not an, "anti-Romney meeting" and said that he is not part of any anti-Romney group. He doesn't plan to go negative on Romney once he endorses Santorum.

Bauer said even though he has endorsed Santorum he still feels compelled to go to the meeting because he called it yet hasn't fully decided if he will attend. Bauer saod this upcoming meeting is really a chance for evangelical leaders to compare notes on the candidates.

posted @ Saturday, January 07, 2012 7:07 PM | Feedback (0)