Dale Hurd

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China Will Be Number One? Not So Fast My Friend


Is China on a trajectory to overtake America as the world's number one power? The topic is growing in importance to Americans, 65 percent of whom now consider China an "adversary" or a "serious problem." And with the visit this past week of President Hu, we got worrisome headlines like this and this that suggest an ascendant and dangerous China.

I guess it’s not surprising that the Chinese government has drunk the “China-Number One” Kool-Aid. But for the rest of us, to quote Lee Corso, “Not so fast my friend.”

Recently in Paris I discussed China’s prospects with a French construction magnate who is making a fortune in the developing world. He’s abandoned operations in China completely and believes India, which was endowed with British democratic ideas and values in its colonial period, will overtake China someday. He said of China, “Everything is fake,” and he mentioned all the shiny, new and empty office buildings he saw, how treacherous and predatory the Chinese government can be in business dealings, and the culture of corruption. He called their economy a house of cards.

China also faces a grim demographic future because of its one child only/forced abortion policy; it’s a future in which there will not be enough workers to support an aging population.

History shows over and over that when a government mangles natural law and human rights in the weird and evil way Communist China has, the government can’t just suddenly change its mind and its policy and skip merrily into some bright capitalist future. As much as America is doing to plant dynamite on its own position at the top, through big government and an exploding deficit, the seeds of extreme social turmoil and even revolution remain embedded in Chinese society.

Le Livre Noir du Communisme (The Black Book of Communism), an 850-page book of scholarly essays, estimates that 64 million Chinese died as a result of communism. Countless others had their lives wrecked or family torn apart. China still runs a concentration camp system called the Laogai, and even tries to make money from it.

The government tortures, imprisons and kills pastors, priests, and political dissidents. Increasing the standard of living can only be a band-aid over stuff like that. Prosperity can’t permanently remove the deep and longstanding grievances and social toxins created by Maoism and by hideous experiments like “The Great Leap Forward.

“ An economic depression in China now would probably bring revolution or something close to it. And that’s not the stuff great nations are made of.

Print     Email to a Friend    posted on Saturday, January 22, 2011 3:35 PM



Comments on this post

# RE: China Will Be Number One? Not So Fast My Friend

Very interesting perspective to balance the investment emails I receive.
Verifies Proverbs 14:34...the entire chapter!!
I am named after an Aunt who spent many years as a missionary there...left one of five children buried in China and escaped into north Thailand as the Communists entered China.
I have been very moved, humbled and inspired by missionary stories from China and modern nationals, also.
God will perform His Word!
Left by star37 on Jan 27, 2011 11:53 PM

# RE: China Will Be Number One? Not So Fast My Friend

I am an American now living in China (teacher). I see much of what this article says.
1. Yes, there is so much fake here. Example: The Chinese like to light them up in the early night for people to see how beautiful, but in daytime, not very beautiful.
2. The students are told many things that they must learn (and parrot), preventing good "critical thinking".
3. There are many empty apartments in the big cities - maybe more than 1/2 are empty, and are bought as an investment by young professional people. This a big trend, which will collapse some day.
4. I clearly hear of the repression of many people, but can't comment on it.

Yes, I agree that it will be quite difficult for China to be a number one power in the future. The only way this can happen is if "good" countries all fail.
Left by cqtiger on Feb 07, 2011 5:08 PM